Positive Predictive Value

PPV is a technical term in statistics for tests. Accuracy, technically speaking, is simply what percentage of the time a test will give a positive result when that which is being tested is true.

Example: if I can eat a bowl of Cocoa Pebbles within 60 days of pouring it, then Pamela Anderson has Hepatitis-C.

It's a retarded test, but, look, I can usually polish off a box of Cocoa Pebbles in a day if I really worked at it. And even then I wouldn't unless I was in a "race" to prevent my brother from eating it all before I do. (That's sibling logic, you know.)

Logically speaking, "I can eat a bowl of Cocoa Pebbles within 60 days of pouring it" is P and "Pamela Anderson has Hepatitis-C" is Q.

if P then Q.

Note that if P is not true for whatever reason, then it doesn't matter what Q is. At all. The whole statement is true. If P then Q. If (something false) then (Q doesn't matter because P never happened.)

So that's Statistics and Computational Logic in one post. Don't say I never taught you anything.

-- PHASE 2 --

As predicted, I've already gotten a full combo with a AA grade on "Timo Maas - First Day" in Hyper 7-key Beatmania. It's only a 3 star, true, but the song is already on my top 10 songs for MY life.

If that's isn't a fucking emo statement I don't know what is.

I havn't really picked all 10 songs, though. So far I've got two. I have a theory that for all 10 phases in a persons' life, there is a song. In no particular order:

Fischerspooner - We Need a War
Bellanova - Tus Ojos

So now I've got three. This pleases me. That means I've got 7 phases left in my life. Not too shabby.

-- PHASE 3 --

Here's a secret. I'm going to cosplay at Yasumicon.

**** ZOMG SHOCKER TOTAL ONE HAND WITH ALL FINGERS EXTENDED EXCEPT THE RING FINGER ****

Actually, no, not a complete costume. I'd call it "prop-play" for now. It's a total secret. It's a really fan-fucking-tastic idea that will probably be stolen by many, many people so I'll tell you privately if you remind me to tell you about it. I'm really excited. I'm going to have a lot of fun.

...

I said... "I'M GOING TO HAVE A LOT OF FUN." So help me!!!

-- PHASE 93 --

Currently:

A. Wanting to become a robot-equivalent Beatmania player, laughing in the face of those who say I shouldn't play the keys with one hand. *SCOFF*

B. Playing X-Change 3. Yeah yeah, bishoujo game. Yeah yeah, eroge. Yeah yeah, outright porn game. But I'm having fun with it. Just because I can get ahold of just about any commercially released software title ever for free, doesn't mean I don't buy a game or two. And the ones which have fortune enough for me to purchase enjoy a special spot in my play schedule. My only complaint: this dude turns into a girl and SHE'S FUCKING RAPED LIKE TWICE A DAY. Jeez... I never knew being a woman was so dangerous. Although, yeah, I'd still give it a whirl for a week if I were given the chance. Think that makes me gay?! Well.... NO U!!! (ha ha, I'm wearing my +6 Hat of Wittiness.)

C. Working on my hand-crafted Yasumicon prop. Trust me, damnit, it's GOOD. I think it's highly likely I'm going to obtain a few groupies because of it. And to think I won't even have to dress up like some bishonen to get that reaction. I really want to get a room there (it'd just be one) for storage and convenience, but I don't know if I'll be able to afford it considering I have no disposable money left thanks to my car issues and the $800 "SURPRISE" from being betrayed.

D. I havn't forgotten that model. It's pinned (but not glued) and waiting for filling before I can prime and paint. I'm waiting on a respirator I ordered last month, and possibly for the mosquitos to go extinct before I get somewhere with enough ventilation to do this safely. Oh, and, um, not coat every surface within a 50 meter radius with Golden Color paints. It's ok, I really wanted the nude catgirl and it's not even going to be ready until August so....

E. Guitar Hero emulator. Yeah! I wanna give that a shot. Mostly because there is one in production but it's in JAVA. *shudder* Besides, I've got a BGM track of the Megaman 2 theme in one WAV and the guitar riffs in another WAV and they line up with absolute precision. I'll probably take the guitar track and chop it up into separate samples so I can do misses, or just deflect the whole track. It depends on how well I can adapt the FMOD library to my nefarious purposes. It's a big job and I honestly don't think I'll ever finish it to a point where it'll be as clean as Stepmania. But I mostly want to do that Megaman 2 proof-of-concept.

F. Sleep. Sometime. Preferrably now.